Return to work rate and long-term effectiveness of delayed versus early surgery for back pain and sciatica in Russian Railways employees: a single-center retrospective study

Article information

Asian Spine J. 2025;.asj.2025.0132
Publication date (electronic) : 2025 September 23
doi : https://doi.org/10.31616/asj.2025.0132
1Department of Neurosurgery, Irkutsk State Medical University, Irkutsk, Russia
2Department of Neurosurgery, Railway Clinical Hospital, Irkutsk, Russia
3Department of Traumatology, Orthopaedics and Neurosurgery, Irkutsk State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education, Irkutsk, Russia
4Department of Spine and Spinal Cord Pathology, Republican Specialized Scientific and Practical Medical Center for Neurosurgery of the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
5Department of Neurosurgery, Kazakhstan-Russian Medical University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
6Department of Neurosurgery, Asfendiyarov Kazakh National Medical University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
7Department of Neurological Surgery, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY, USA
8Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
Corresponding author: Vadim Byvaltsev, 1 Krassnogo Vosstaniya Street, off 201, 664003, Irkutsk, Irkutskaya Oblast’, Russia, Tel: +7-9025-10-4020, Fax: +7-(3952)-638-528, E-mail: vadim75byvaltsev@gmail.com; byval75vadim@yandex.ru
Received 2025 March 5; Revised 2025 June 19; Accepted 2025 July 16.

Abstract

Study Design

Retrospective study.

Purpose

To evaluate the return-to-work rate and long-term outcomes of delayed versus early surgery for back pain and sciatica among railway workers.

Overview of Literature

The timing of conservative versus surgical treatment and their long-term clinical effectiveness remain controversial. To our knowledge, there are no studies on the long-term postoperative outcomes and risk factors for unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes after conservative and surgical treatment of lumbar degenerative diseases in railway workers.

Methods

We identified patients with persistent back pain and sciatica due to lumbar degeneration at L4–L5 or L5–S1 treated between 2010 and 2020. Two groups of patients were identified: The Delayed group (n=692) initially refused operative care despite 6–12 weeks of non-operative care, and the Early group (n=1,687) underwent surgery immediately after routine (6–12 weeks) non-operative care was unsuccessful. Perioperative clinical data and return-to-work rates were obtained before surgery and at a minimum of 40 months postoperatively. Factors associated with unfavorable outcomes were also identified.

Results

At baseline, the two groups had comparable clinical data, demographics, and workload intensity. There were significantly better clinical results, fewer complications, and a higher frequency of return to work in the Early group than in the Delayed group (p<0.05); 15.3% (209) and 25.7% (147) of the patients in the Early and Delayed groups, respectively, had unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes. Specific factors associated with unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes in the delayed surgery group were male sex, diabetes mellitus, lower extremity pain Visual Analog Scale >40 mm, Oswestry Disability Index >48%, physical component score <18 points, preoperative use of narcotic analgesics, and light-to-medium and heavy-to-very heavy preoperative workload.

Conclusions

In this single-center study involving railway workers with lumbar degenerative back pain and sciatica, early surgery was superior to delayed surgery in terms of pain intensity, functional status, quality of life, return-to-work rate, and reoperation rate at the long-term follow-up. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes are required to clarify this association.

Introduction

Lumbar degenerative disease is the most common cause of radicular pain in the able-bodied population [1]. The persistence of radicular symptoms or neurological deficits following conservative treatment significantly worsens the quality of life and greatly impacts work, especially in physically and mentally active individuals [2]. Railway workers are often subjected to monotonous activities that can result in microtrauma to the musculoskeletal system and accelerate degenerative changes in the spine [3].

The treatment of lumbar degenerative diseases remains controversial and has not been standardized. This is partly due to the diverse clinical presentations, pathological conditions, and the absence of a direct correlation between neurological symptoms and neuroimaging data in some cases [4,5]. In addition, the timing of conservative versus surgical treatment, as well as their long-term clinical effectiveness, remain controversial [68].

To our knowledge, there are no studies on the long-term postoperative outcomes and risk factors for unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes after conservative and surgical treatment of lumbar degenerative disease in railway workers. Railway workers tend to be a homogeneous population and so have advantages as a study sample [3,8]. In addition, their workload poses risk factors for spinal degeneration, making them a unique population in which to study the effectiveness of various treatments.

In this study, we evaluated the return-to-work rate and long-term clinical effectiveness of delayed surgical treatment following prolonged (>6–12 weeks) conservative versus early surgical treatment following routine (6–12 weeks) non-operative treatment for persistent back pain and sciatica in railway workers.

Materials and Methods

Subjects and methods

This was a retrospective study of patients treated for lumbar degenerative disease at the Neurosurgery Center of Irkutsk Railway Clinical Hospital between 2010 and 2020. The study was conducted in accordance with the principles of the Helsinki Declaration with the written consent of patients and was approved by the Ethics Committee of Irkutsk State Medical University (Protocol no., 2 from 19.04.2020). The study design is shown in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Flowchart of the patients included in the study.

The first stage in the flow diagram shows patients (n=2,748) who received either surgical treatment (n=2,356) or continued conservative treatment (nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, opioids, muscle relaxers, steroids, physiotherapy, and massage) due to refusal of surgery or the presence of contraindications. Conservative outpatient treatment for 6–12 weeks failed in both groups, necessitating further treatment (n=5,104).

The second stage involved the exclusion of two groups of patients treated non-operatively: (1) those who recovered with non-operative treatment (n=1,539); (2) those with failed non-operative treatment but had contraindications to surgery (n=517, excluded). A total of 669 patients who did not meet the inclusion criteria were excluded from the study.

In the third stage, patients who were treated surgically at one level (L4–L5 or L5–S1) were divided into two groups. The Delayed group underwent surgery after more non-operative treatments failed beyond the initial 6–12 weeks (n=692). The Early group was treated with surgery after 6–12 weeks of non-operative treatment failed (n=1,687). The Delayed group received 43 (39–58) additional days of non-operative treatment, in addition to the initial 6–12 weeks, prior to surgery. The exclusion criteria were as follows: (1) revision surgery, (2) multi-segmental clinically significant degenerative disease of the lumbar segments, and (3) non-degenerative pathology (tumors, trauma, and inflammatory process).

After surgery, the patients began an active rehabilitation program, which was the same in both the groups. In the 3rd–4th week after the surgery, home exercises were used; in the 5th–6th week, low-intensity exercise was started; in the 7th–8th week, high-intensity exercise was started.

The fourth stage (4.3–13.1 years; median 8.2 years) after surgery involved calling, clinically evaluating, and surveying 571 patients in the Delayed group (82.5%) and 1,364 patients in the Early group (80.8%) for the following data: (1) back pain and (2) lower extremity pain on a Visual Analog Scale (VAS); (3) Oswestry Disability Index (ODI); (4) quality of life according to the 36-Item Short Form Health Surve (SF-36); (5) subjective outcomes of the operation according to the Macnab scale; (6) workload intensity, which included sedentary, light-to-moderate, and heavy-to-very heavy workloads (https://occupationalinfo.org); (7) complications according to the Dindo-Clavien classification [9]; and (8) fusion rate, which was assessed at the final postoperative follow-up period using the Bridwell fusion grading criteria of computed tomography scans [10].

In the fifth stage, patients with postoperative complications and poor outcomes were identified. The Delayed group had significantly more (147/571, 25.7%) unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes than the Early group (209/1,364, 15.3%). These were defined as the presence of the following criteria: back or leg pain level of ≥20 mm, ODI level of ≥20%, SF-36 score of ≤30, and presence of an unsatisfactory result on the Macnab scale. In this cohort, perioperative data were analyzed to identify the causes of these results.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed on a personal computer using Statistica ver. 13.2 (TIBCO Software Inc., Palo Alto, CA, USA). The characteristics of the distribution of variables were evaluated using the Shapiro-Wilk, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, and Lilliefors tests to assess normality. Considering the presence of statistically significant differences according to these tests (p<0.05), the distribution was considered non-normal. Thus, nonparametric statistics were used to assess the significance of the differences between the samples. The results are presented as the median and values of the 1st and 3rd quartiles (interquartile range). The Mann-Whitney U test and Wilcoxon test were used to compare values. The χ2 test was used to compare binomial variables. Differences were considered statistically significant at p<0.05.

Results

The preoperative patient data are presented in Table 1. No intergroup differences were observed in any of the analyzed parameters (p>0.05).

Demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients at baseline

Long-term postoperative outcomes were obtained in 82.5% (571/692) of the Delayed group and 80.8% (1,364/1,687) of the Early group (Table 2). The analysis revealed significantly better clinical results, fewer complications and reoperation rates, and a higher rate of return to work in the Early group than in the Delayed group (p<0.05). Moreover, in the lumbar interbody fusion subgroup, there were no intergroup differences in fusion rates.

Long-term clinical outcomes, return to work rate, fusion rate, reoperation rate, and complications

In the Delayed group, 25.7% (147/571) had unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes compared to the Early group (15.3% [209/1,364]) (p<0.001). During the surgery, numerous difficulties were encountered in the Delayed group, including enlarged epidural veins, adhesive scar tissue, increased intraoperative bleeding, the need for prolonged use of electrocautery, hemostatic agents and drains, and unintentional durotomies. The above-mentioned technical difficulties were much rarer in the Early group during the initial surgical intervention.

Using the binary logistic regression model, the factors associated with unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes common to patients in both study groups were as follows: age >50 years, body mass index >30 kg/m2, smoking status, presence of motor neurological deficits, and mental component score (MCS) SF-36 score <15 points (Table 3). Factors specific to unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes in the Delayed group included male sex, presence of type II diabetes mellitus, intensity of pain in the lower extremities >40 mm, ODI >48 points, physical component score (PCS) SF-36 score <18 points, use of narcotic analgesics before surgical treatment, and light-to-medium and heavy-to-very heavy preoperative workload (Table 3).

Risk factors for the development of unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes in the study patients

Discussion

The goals of treatment for lumbar degenerative disease include the elimination of pain and restoration of pre-morbid physical activity and quality of life [1114]. The outcome of such treatment is directly related to the selection of the most appropriate treatment based on the patient’s underlying disease and clinical presentation [15,16]. The timeliness of surgical treatment can be critical for preventing the progression of neurological deficits such as acute cauda equina syndrome [17]. However, for degenerative lumbar cases without emergency surgical indications, there are currently no well-accepted criteria for prioritizing surgical treatment over further non-operative treatment after failing the standard 6–12 weeks of non-operative care [7]. Although it is well established that surgical treatment is indicated when conservative treatment is ineffective, a clear strategy for appropriate therapy, the timing of surgery, and options for recurrent clinical symptoms are not well-established [18]. Possibly, some contradictions in the success of surgical versus non-surgical treatment in the literature are partly due to the heterogeneity of the subjects as well as their preoperative prognostic indicators. Therefore, the risk factors for unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes of conservative versus surgical treatment remain largely unexplored. In this study, we followed up patients who had failed an initial 6–12 weeks of conservative treatment and were then either treated with early or delayed surgery after failing further non-operative treatment. The Delayed group was offered surgery but refused and only consented after further non-operative treatment failed. To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine long-term clinical outcomes and return-to-work rates, as well as the risk factors for unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes following early versus delayed surgical treatment for lumbar degenerative disease in a relatively homogeneous population of physical laborers.

Our study included patients with only one surgical level, which was because most of the patients treated in our Neurosurgery Center had one clinically significant level. We also aimed to maximize the homogeneity of our cohorts and minimize the risk of bias; an increase in the number of operated levels tends to increase clinical and radiological variables compared to a single-level operation.

As is true for most operations, identifying and utilizing preoperative prognostic factors is essential for planning neurosurgical care, improving long-term clinical outcomes, and restoring work intensity levels in railway workers. We identified the following risk factors for unfavorable long-term outcomes following conservative and surgical treatment in railway workers. The common negative prognostic factors for both groups were age >50 years, body mass index >30 kg/m2, smoking status, presence of motor deficits, and MCS <15 points (Table 3). Specific negative prognostic indicators for the Delayed group were male sex, presence of type II diabetes mellitus, lower extremity pain >40 mm, ODI >48%, PCS <18 points, use of narcotic analgesics before surgery, and light-to-medium and heavy-to-very heavy preoperative workloads.

There is a paucity of literature on early versus late surgical treatment for chronic degenerative lumbar disease. Most studies only compared operative versus non-operative treatment rather than the timing of the operative treatment. According to Davison et al. [19] over a 10-year follow-up period in a cohort of 531,980 patients identified in an insurance database with lumbar stenosis or spondylolisthesis, successful conservative therapy was noted in 98.3% (523,031) cases, whereas failure occurred in only 1.7% (8,949) cases, which served as a predictor for choosing surgical treatment. Ineffective conservative treatment resulted in a twofold increase in financial costs. The risk factors for ineffective conservative treatment were smoking status, obesity, and long-term opioid use. As is common in large database studies, the study has a paucity of data regarding patient demographics, the nature of both conservative and operative treatment, and outcome measures. In a prospective study by Atlas et al. [20], surgically treated patients had greater satisfaction and better functional outcomes than those in the non-operative group at 10 years. Similar results were obtained in a randomized clinical trial by Malmivaara et al. [21] at a 2-year follow-up. In contrast, a large prospective, randomized, multicenter study conducted by Weinstein et al. [22] did not demonstrate the superiority of surgical over non-operative treatment for pain and functional state according to ODI at 2 years. However, the study used an initial “intention-to-treat” methodology for the analysis. Therefore, patients who were initially randomized to receive non-operative treatment and then successfully treated by crossing over to surgical treatment were still categorized as having received successful non-surgical treatment. Similar results were obtained in a prospective cohort study by Gugliotta et al. [23] at 104 weeks in both conservative and surgical groups. Several systematic reviews of randomized clinical trials confirm the greater effectiveness of surgical treatment compared to non-operative treatment for long-term improvement of pain and functional status [2326].

Our study adds to the evidence found in these studies that supports surgical treatment over continued conservative treatment. However, none of these studies was specifically designed to examine early versus late surgical treatment. Our data strongly suggest that after an initial failure of 6–12 weeks of non-operative treatment, early surgery results in better outcomes than further delaying surgery with more non-operative treatment.

This study has several limitations. First, this was a single-center retrospective study with the limitations associated with such studies. However, one can also posit that because this was a single-center study, variations in the quality and type of non-surgical and surgical care were significantly reduced, such that the strengths outweigh the limitations. Second, although we recorded long-term outcomes, we lacked early postoperative outcomes. However, most patients and surgeons are more interested in the final long-term outcomes, as opposed to the early postoperative outcomes. Third, we applied very strict inclusion criteria, enrolling only those who had failed non-operative treatment for 6–12 weeks and either agreed to or refused surgery. While the demographics of the group that refused surgery were similar to those of patients who opted for surgery, there may be some unmeasured differences between the two groups. For example, patients who refuse recommended surgery may have a higher level of distrust in the surgeons, a greater fear of surgery, less faith in medical treatment, or some other psychological or attitudinal differences. Such distrust has the potential to decrease the placebo effect of any treatment. As we did not evaluate the psychological attitudes of the patients, we cannot rule out such an effect. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that the poorer outcomes in the Delayed group could have been, in part, due to some psychological factors that were not assessed, as this was a spine study conducted by neurosurgeons and not psychologists. We also did not assess the possibility of psychosomatic or secondary gain issues contributing to the differences in outcomes. In contrast, the Delayed group may have refused surgery initially because their symptoms did not bother them enough to opt for surgery. Despite similar preoperative outcome scores, it is possible that they had a more sanguine attitude toward their disability. This could have canceled out any negative psychological factor. In addition, due to the lack of psychologists on staff at our Neurosurgery Center and the retrospective design of the study, we were unable to assess the potential influence of psychological factors on the results of surgical intervention. Fourth, we did not perform further analyses based on the exact type and level of the procedure other than to divide them into microdiscectomy, laminectomy, and fusion groups. There was no difference between the Early and Delayed groups in terms of the number of procedures performed. Fifth, we performed a two-group analysis without multifactorial regression analysis because no variable was statistically significant. In addition, we considered the possibility of identifying various risk factors that, if taken into account in preoperative planning, could improve long-term clinical outcomes. Sixth, in the retrospective analysis of medical records, there was no information on the extent of motor neurological deficits in most cases, which precludes us from demonstrating the degree of motor impairment. Finally, because this was a relatively homogeneous population, the results may not apply to workers with different types of physically demanding jobs. However, to test the hypothesis that the timing of surgery can impact surgical results, we believe it is more important to reduce as many variables as possible.

Despite these weaknesses, the strengths of the study are the large number of patients who self-selected early versus delayed surgery in a relatively homogeneous population of railway workers treated by the same group of caregivers.

Conclusions

In patients with lumbar degenerative disease, structured conservative treatment is an effective method for achieving clinical improvement in >50% of cases. After such treatment for 6–12 weeks failed, early surgical intervention appeared to result in better clinical outcomes, reduced postoperative complications, higher return to preoperative work levels, and minimal reoperation rates. Univariate regression analysis identified age >50 years, body mass index >30 kg/m2, smoking status, presence of motor deficits, and MCS <15 points as negative predictors in both the Early and Delayed groups. Specific negative prognostic indicators for the Delayed group were male sex, type II diabetes mellitus, lower extremity pain >40 mm, ODI >48%, PCS <18 points, use of narcotic analgesics before surgery, and light-to-medium and heavy-to-very heavy preoperative workloads.

Our limitations (single-center retrospective study, lack of analysis of early postoperative outcomes, psychological and psychosomatic factors, comparisons of the type of surgery performed, and multivariate regression analysis) call for verification with further prospective multicenter studies involving a larger number of respondents.

Key Points

  • Railway workers often engage in monotonous activities that can result in microtrauma to the musculoskeletal system, accelerating degenerative changes in the spine.

  • The timing of conservative versus surgical treatment and their long-term clinical effectiveness remain controversial.

  • There are no studies on long-term postoperative outcomes and risk factors for unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes after conservative and surgical treatment of lumbar degenerative disease in railway workers.

  • In patients with lumbar degenerative disease, structured conservative treatment is an effective method to achieve clinical improvement in >50% of cases.

  • After such treatment for 6–12 weeks failed, early surgical intervention appeared to result in better clinical outcomes, reduced postoperative complications, higher return to preoperative work levels, and minimal reoperation rates.

  • Given the limitations of the study related to its design and the lack of analysis of some variables that could affect treatment outcomes, further studies are needed to verify the data obtained.

Notes

Conflict of Interest

No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.

Author Contributions

Conception and design: VB. Data acquisition: VB, AK, YP, ES. Analysis of data: AK, RY, MA, YD. Drafting of the manuscript: VB, AK, YP, ES. Critical revision: VB, AK, KDR. Obtaining funding: none. Administrative support: VB, AS, KDR. Supervision: AS, KDR. Final approval of the manuscript: all authors.

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Article information Continued

Fig. 1

Flowchart of the patients included in the study.

Table 1

Demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients at baseline

Characteristic Delayed (n=692) Early (n=1,687) p-value
Age (yr) 49 (29–63) 51 (27–66) 0.69
Gender 0.74
 Male 438 (63.3) 1,056 (62.6)
 Female 254 (36.7) 631 (37.4)
Body mass index (kg/m2) 30.5 (22.9–34.1) 29.8 (23.3–33.7) 0.57
ASA score 0.19
 I 266 (38.4) 612 (36.3)
 II 365 (52.8) 934 (55.4)
 III 61 (8.8) 141 (8.3)
Smoking (none used smokeless tobacco) 195 (28.2) 459 (27.2) 0.66
Presence of comorbiditya) 227 (32.8) 513 (30.4) 0.27
Use of opiates before surgery 67 (9.7) 151 (8.9) 0.62
Duration of neurological symptoms before hospitalization (wk) 9 (6–11) 8 (6–11) 0.74
Operation level 0.50
 L4–L5 275 (39.7) 644 (38.2)
 L5–S1 417 (60.3) 1,043 (61.8)
Pain intensity (mm)
 Back 87 (75–93) 90 (72–95) 0.76
 Lower extremities 89 (81–94) 91 (85–94) 0.83
SF-36
 Physical component score 20.13 (17.63–21.14) 19.62 (17.26–20.94) 0.61
 Mental component score 18.09 (16.87–20.96) 19.17 (15.98–21.01) 0.58
ODI (%) 80 (72–90) 80 (70–90) 0.92
Motor deficit 144 (20.8) 381 (22.6) 0.37
Sensitive deficit 499 (72.1) 1237 (73.3) 0.57
Type of degenerative disease 0.61
 Lumbar disk herniation 342 (49.4) 824 (48.8)
 Lumbar spinal stenosis 159 (23) 401 (23.8)
 Listhesis 135 (19.5) 319 (18.9)
 Deformity 56 (8.1) 143 (8.5)
Type of surgery 0.17
 Microdiscectomy 263 (38) 599 (35.6)
 Laminectomy with or without discectomy 210 (30.4) 531 (31.4)
 Lumbar interbody fusion 219 (31.6) 557 (33)
Preoperative workload 0.54
 Sedentary 123 (17.8) 279 (16.5)
 Light-medium 412 (59.5) 1,039 (61.6)
 Heavy-very heavy 157 (22.7) 369 (21.9)
Follow-up period (mo) 125 (79–139) 128 (81–142) 0.41

Values are presented as median (interquartile range) or number (%).

ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; SF-36, 36-Item Short Form Health Surve; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index.

a)

Any chronic pulmonary disease, cardiovascular system, stroke, cancer, or diabetes, which was reported by the patients.

Table 2

Long-term clinical outcomes, return to work rate, fusion rate, reoperation rate, and complications

Criterion Delayed (n=571) Early (n=1,364) p-value
Motor recovery rate (before/after) 129/78 (60.5) 348/307 (88) 0.02
Sensitive recovery rate (before/after) 463/269 (58.1) 1,105/804 (72.8) 0.01
Pain intensity (mm)
 Back 36 (25–47) 29 (21–45) 0.04
 Lower extremities 20 (11–29) 14 (9–18) 0.03
SF-36
 Physical component score 33.78 (31.55–39.78) 40.91 (35.07–43.81) 0.03
 Mental component score 27.28 (25.97–31.58) 31.35 (26.57–40.17) 0.04
ODI (%) 36 (18–50) 22 (8–28) 0.02
Macnab scale 0.01
 Excellent 61 (10.7) 392 (28.7)
 Good 197 (34.5) 468 (34.4)
 Satisfactory 166 (29.1) 295 (21.6)
 Unsatisfactory 147 (25.7) 209 (15.3)
Return to work rate
 Sedentary 54 (86.2) 174 (92.5) 0.04
 Light-medium 248 (69.7) 671 (89.9) 0.02
Heavy-very heavy 69 (57.1) 224 (63.6) 0.01
Complications according to the Dindo-Clavien classification
 Minor complications (Grade I, II, IIIA) 95 (16.6) 159 (11.6) 0.003
 Major complications (Grade IIIB, IV, V) 52 (9.1) 50 (3.7) <0.001
Fusion rate (before/after) 196/219 (89.5) 508/557 (91.2) 0.54
Reoperation rate (before/after) 63/571 (11.1) 96/1,268 (7.6) 0.004

Values are presented as number (%) or median (interquartile range).

SF-36, 36-Item Short Form Health Surve; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index.

Table 3

Risk factors for the development of unsatisfactory long-term clinical outcomes in the study patients

Risk factor Delayed (n=147) Early (n=209)


OR (95% CI) χ2 OR (95% CI) χ2
Age >50 yr 6.5 (3.2–9.6) 31.8* 4.7 (2.2–8.8) 55.2*

Male gender 3.7 (2.1–5.9) 61.7* 5.4 (3.2–8.9) 41.7

Body mass index >30 kg/m2 2.9 (2.0–3.6) 24.8* 2.6 (2.1–3.1) 34.8*

Smoking 2.9 (1.8–3.6) 24.7* 3.7 (2.2–4.9) 37.6*

Diabetes mellitus 2.5 (2.1–2.9) 31.8* 1.8 (1.1–2.8) 24.3

Preoperative motor deficit 2.9 (1.5–4.4) 27.8* 4.1 (2.3–6.1) 21.9*

VAS in lower extremities >40 mm 1.7 (1.1–2.9) 21.5* 1.6 (1.1–2.7) 17.3

ODI >48 points 11.6 (8.4–21.1) 42.4* 12.6 (10.1–14.8) 35.9

PCS <18 points 4.7 (3.2–6.5) 34.3* 1.8 (1.1–3.4) 21.3

MCS <15 points 2.7 (1.2–3.9) 25.2* 1.8 (1.1–2.7) 27.7*

Preoperative opioids consumption 4.4 (2.1–7.5) 32.9* 2.9 (2.4–3.6) 17.9

Preoperative workload medium and higher 21.3 (19.2–31.6) 33.8* 12.9 (9.9–22.7) 16.8

OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; VAS, Visual Analog Scale; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; PCS, physical component score; MCS, mental component score.

*

p<0.05 (Statistically significant).